EVEN HT
|
SASSUOLO+OPPONENT
|
IP
|
56,52
|
Delay
|
7
|
MP
|
99,87
|
HISTORIC HIGH
|
7
|
Can extend 5 matches
Next Opponents: Sampdoria, Torino, Verona and Frosisone
Green at first time!
Tuesday, 19 April 2016
Monday, 18 April 2016
Challenge of Monitoring Probability Strategy
I have showed you three different types of Monitorings according to their IP:
High IP: >75-80%: mainly to try to play them in live betting
Medium IP 40-60%: Monitorings that sometimes can extend to 5-6 matches starting at MP >99,85. with odds that vary from 1,5 to around 3
Low IP: 20-35: Monitorings that can extend quite more than Medium ones, but with odds >3-4
And these have been the results so far:
High IP: >75-80%: mainly to try to play them in live betting
Medium IP 40-60%: Monitorings that sometimes can extend to 5-6 matches starting at MP >99,85. with odds that vary from 1,5 to around 3
Low IP: 20-35: Monitorings that can extend quite more than Medium ones, but with odds >3-4
And these have been the results so far:
| MONITORING/FOLLOWING | RESULT | ODDS | comments |
| Southampton's opponents score at least one goal | Green at first time! | 1,36 | |
| Arsenal score at least one goal | Green at first time! | 1,33 | I
recommended to play it in live betting, and arsenal didn't score until minute 77 so odds will quite higher than 1,33 |
| Aston Villa - Both teams will score (GG) | Green at first time! | 2,3 | |
| Stoke UNDER 2,5 HT2 - total goals | Green at first time! | low* | Monitoring to try to play in live betting |
| SUNDERLAND'S OPPONENT SCOREs SAME NUMBER OF GOAL IN BOTH HALVES | fulfilled at 4th | 2 | |
| VILLARREAL'S OPPONENT SCORES HT2: YES | fulfilled at 4th | ? | around 2 |
| VALENCIA'S OPPONENT SCORES HT: YES | Green at first time! | 2,7 | |
| DOUBLE CHANCE GETAFE WINS OR DRAW | Green at first time! | 1,8 | |
| Saint Etienne BOTH SCORE HT2: NO | Green at first time! | low* | Monitoring to try to play in live betting |
| RENNES - EVEN HT2 , total goals | fulfilled at 4th | 1,7 | |
| PARIS SAINT GERMAIN ODD HT | Green at first time! | 2,2 | |
| BASTIA OVER 3,5 | Fulfilled at 6th | 4,33 | Monitoring
with very low IP, it can extend more, but odds are higher |
| Guingamp NG HALF TIME 1 | Fulfilled at 2nd | ? | |
| DEPORTIVO CORUÑA WINS | Fulfilled at 3rd | 1,98 | |
| DOUBLE CHANCE ARSENAL WINS OR DRAW | Green at first time! | 1,5 | |
| FC KOLN - OVER 2,5 HT2 . Total goals | Fulfilled at 6th | 5 | Monitoring
with very low IP, it can extend more, but odds are higher |
| Hertha Berlin ODD HT2. total goals | Green at first time! | 2,1 | |
| TOTTENHAM EVEN HT. Total goals | Green at first time! | 1,7 | |
| NORWICH WINS | Green at first time! | 3,7 | |
| DOUBLE CHANCE TROYES WINS OR DRAW | Fulfilled at 3rd | 2,25 | |
| DOUBLE CHANCE ASTON VILLA WINS OR DRAW | on play | ||
| MANCHESTER CITY SCORES: YES | Green at first time! | 1,2* | Monitoring to try to play in live betting |
| MANCHESTER CITY OVER 1,5 | Green at first time! | 1,3 | |
| EVEN HT - SAMPDORIA | Green at first time! | 1,75 | |
| EIBAR'S OPPONENT SCORES HT: NO | on play | ||
| EVEN HT - VERONA+OPPONENT | Green at first time! | 1,8 | |
| GUINGAMP SCORES HT: NO | Green at first time! | 1,57 | |
| OVER 2,5 - MANCHESTER UNITED+OPPONENT | Green at first time! | 2,1 | |
| OVER 1,5 - LEICESTER CITY+OPPONENT | Green at first time! | 1,33 | |
| LEICESTER CITY'S OPPONENT SCORES: YES | Fulfilled at 2nd | 1,44 | |
| MORE GOALS: HT2 VILLARREAL+OPPONENT | on play | ||
| UNDER 2,5 RENNES+OPPONENT | on play | ||
| ODD HT2 LAS PALMAS+OPPONENT | Green at first time! | 2 |
Friday, 15 April 2016
Sunday, 10 April 2016
Friday, 8 April 2016
Six ways of taking advantage of Monitoring Probability Strategy
1. Uses as reference:
In this case you only uses the MP as another info to plan your bets, you consider others variables that have to do with football, this depends on your knowledge or your favorite tipster's
MPS will increase your percentage of success A LOT
2. Bet only if the monitoring meets certain parameters:
for example bet only with IP between 40-50% when MP has exceeded 99.85, or when also is at its historic high, or one before, or one next ... Or those that are in MP 99.99 ...
3. Playing on “live betting” the monitorings that have IP >75-80%
when they’re on its historic high or if next match it will have MP 99,99 or 100. Of course you have to follow the match and wait until the circunstances let you make a bet with a decent odds (at least 2 or near to that, 1/1).
an example: if you have a monitoring like "CHELSEA WILL SCORE: YES", if at minute 45 chelsea still haven't scored and odds is 2 or near to it bet, or even wait until odds is higher...
4. Making martingale until three steps:
It's risky to win but not impossible, I would divide my bankroll here among at least 7, and play each with monitorings that have odds at least 2 when they're on its historic high, or near to reach it, or with MP 99.99, or use all this and what I have written in point number 1..
Or would try to play bets like "Team X wins or draw", where you have 2 positions against 1 to win, and play it when it's on its historic high, this kind of Monitorings works quite well, the pros that you will get a lot of greens at first time and cons that the odds are sometimes highly variable
Another kind of bet that can work is 'Over 1,5 goals', the cons that odds usually are quite low..
5. Another variant that is also risky is martingale to 4-6 steps:
an interesting fact is that starting from MP 99.50 the 90% fulfills in the next 5 times, thus starting a monitoring when you are with an higher MP increases your success.
For this cases play IP 45-60 if odds are higher than 2, and start when MP >99,85
Or play odds >3 (Use the BET PLANNING tool you have in my blog)
6. Winning 99% of time:
Divide your bankroll in at least 5 banks, for example if you have 1000 € :
Bank 1: 200 €
Bank 2: 200 €
Bank 3: 200 €
Bank 4: 200 €
Of course you can play mixing the different approaches...
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